Probabilité implicite actuelle
80° or below 60%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
88 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
11,5 k €
Liquidité
9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
63.0% / 64.0%
Spread
1.6%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
10 juil. 26, 14:0012 juil. 26, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
80° or below60%
Comparer les plateformes· 80° or below
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 60% | — | 11,5 k € | 9 k € | il y a 5 minutes | |
 PolymarketLa plus active84% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 40% | — | 28,9 k € | 45,8 k € | il y a 13 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 11?
10h
40%
27%
18%
+8 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total28,8 k €
Volume 24h28,9 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$13.1k10 juil.2j de données11 juil.
Marchés Associés
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 10, 2026?
81,7 k €86° or below: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 10, 2026?
90,4 k €78° or below: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Jul 10, 2026?
59,7 k €86° to 87°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11?
52,7 k €34°C: 47%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 11?
48,2 k €31°C: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 11?
46,4 k €74-75°F: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.NewsGoogle Expands Gemini Spark to macOS, Adds New App IntegrationsBlockchain.News
NVIDIA Adds Vulkan Descriptor Heaps Support, Boosting GPU PerformanceBlockchain.News
AI chipmaker Cerebras down 11% after first public earnings reportCoindeskRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.