Probabilité implicite actuelle
97° or below 77%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
88 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
13 k €
Liquidité
10,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
76.0% / 77.0%
Spread
1.3%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
3 juil. 26, 14:005 juil. 26, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
97° or below77%
Marchés Associés
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 3, 2026?
272,3 k €100° to 101°: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 3, 2026?
323 k €75° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 3, 2026?
174,9 k €90° to 91°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
89,5 k €31°C: 55%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 4?
72,1 k €33°C: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 4?
68,9 k €29°C: 57%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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Meta is developing a prediction market app called ‘Arena’ as sector booms: NYTCoindeskRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 98°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 98-99°, then the market resolves to Yes.