Probabilité implicite actuelle
78° or above 9%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
31,1 k €
Liquidité
23,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
4 juil. 26, 14:006 juil. 26, 7:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
78° or above9%
Marchés Associés
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 4, 2026?
334,1 k €75° or above: 99%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will the maximum temperature be above 100 degrees on Jul 4, 2026?
176,9 k €Phoenix: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Boston on Jul 4, 2026?
139,5 k €91° to 92°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 5?
57,9 k €31°C: 45%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
57,7 k €30°C: 37%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 5?
53,7 k €14°C: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Meta is developing a prediction market app called ‘Arena’ as sector booms: NYTCoindeskRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 05, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 70°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 05, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 70-71°, then the market resolves to Yes.