Probabilité implicite actuelle
73° to 74° 46%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
88 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
6,7 k €
Liquidité
4,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
2.2%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
21 juil. 26, 14:0023 juil. 26, 5:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
73° to 74°46%
Comparer les plateformes· 73° to 74°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global84% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 51% | — | 14,4 k € | 58,8 k € | il y a 20 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette page | Élevée | 46% | — | 6,7 k € | 4,7 k € | il y a 20 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 22?
14.0%9h
+14.0%51%
-6.0%23%
+2.0%16%
+8 résultats de plus
100 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total14,8 k €
Volume 24h14,4 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 22, 2026, is less than 69° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 22, 2026, is between 69-70° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$7.6k21 juil.2j de données22 juil.
Marchés Associés
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Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 83 F on July 21, 2026?
72,2 k €Oui: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXActifs dans ces sujets
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If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 22, 2026, is less than 69° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 22, 2026, is between 69-70° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.