Probabilité implicite actuelle
98° to 99° 20%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
22,6 k €
Liquidité
15,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
5.3%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
13 juil. 26, 14:0015 juil. 26, 5:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
98° to 99°20%
Comparer les plateformes· 96° to 97°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 56% | — | 22,6 k € | 15,9 k € | il y a 19 minutes | |
 Polymarket84% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 51% | — | 10,8 k € | 39,4 k € | il y a 19 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 14?
0.4%2h
+16.5%51%
+6.5%20%
-15.5%20%
+8 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total13,8 k €
Volume 24h10,8 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 14, 2026, is less than 94° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 14, 2026, is between 94-95° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$25.7k13 juil.2j de données14 juil.
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If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 14, 2026, is less than 94° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 14, 2026, is between 94-95° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.