Probabilité implicite actuelle
81° to 82° 26%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,2 k €
Liquidité
4,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
23.0% / 25.0%
Spread
8.7%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
10 juil. 26, 14:0012 juil. 26, 5:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
81° to 82°26%
Comparer les plateformes· 83° to 84°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global84% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 52% | — | 8 k € | 44,4 k € | il y a 12 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette page | Moyenne | 51% | — | 5,2 k € | 4,5 k € | il y a 3 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 11?
10h
52%
21%
17%
+8 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total7,9 k €
Volume 24h8 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 11, 2026, is less than 81° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 11, 2026, is between 81-82° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$6.0k10 juil.2j de données11 juil.
Marchés Associés
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If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 11, 2026, is less than 81° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 11, 2026, is between 81-82° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.