Probabilité implicite actuelle
95° or below 2%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,1 k €
Liquidité
5,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
25 juil. 26, 14:0027 juil. 26, 5:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
95° or below2%
Comparer les plateformes· 96° to 97°
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global84% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 51% | — | 10,1 k € | 30,1 k € | il y a 6 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 KalshiCette page | Moyenne | 56% | — | 6,1 k € | 5,6 k € | il y a 26 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in Austin on July 26?
0.5%4h
+4.0%51%
+0.5%35%
-7.0%7%
+8 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total11,5 k €
Volume 24h10,1 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 96°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 96-97°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$2.0k99.0%KALSHI95° or below — No-4 h
KALSHI95° or below — No-4 hTendance du volume
$6.9k25 juil.2j de données26 juil.
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If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 96°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 26, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 96-97°, then the market resolves to Yes.