Probabilité implicite actuelle
84° or below 64%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
7 k €
Liquidité
5,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
62.0% / 65.0%
Spread
4.8%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 minutes
13 juil. 26, 14:0015 juil. 26, 5:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
84° or below64%
Comparer les plateformes· 84° or below
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 64% | — | 7 k € | 5,9 k € | il y a 25 minutes | |
 PolymarketLa plus active84% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 36% | — | 12,4 k € | 47,5 k € | il y a 11 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Highest temperature in Austin on July 14?
0.1%7h
+3.0%36%
+1.0%28%
+1.0%20%
+8 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total15,2 k €
Volume 24h12,4 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 85°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 85-86°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$7.9k13 juil.2j de données14 juil.
Marchés Associés
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 13, 2026?
37,4 k €93° to 94°: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 13, 2026?
474,4 k €77° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 13, 2026?
157,3 k €82° to 83°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 13, 2026?
102,5 k €Oui: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 14?
94,6 k €32°C: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
92 k €29°C: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.NewsGoogle Expands Gemini Spark to macOS, Adds New App IntegrationsBlockchain.News
Anthropic's Claude Sonnet 5 Closes In on Opus 4.8 at a Fraction of the PriceDecryptAI Legal Document Review Gains Momentum in 2026Blockchain.NewsRègles
If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 85°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for July 14, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 85-86°, then the market resolves to Yes.