KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above 4.5% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above 4.5% 99%En tête parmi 7 options
Above 4.5% 99%Qualité du marché
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,7 €
Intérêt ouvert
765,9 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Above 4.5%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 30 minutes
4 oct. 26, 00:00 UTC30 oct. 26, 12:29 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above 4.5%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- This market uses the 12-month percentage change in health-benefit costs for private-industry workers published in the BLS Employment Cost Index, not seasonally adjusted and in current dollars. Q3 2026 refers to the 12 months ending September 2026, not the change during the quarter. Resolution uses the first officially published value at BLS’s reported precision. Subsequent revisions are ignored. This statistic measures national employer health-benefit cost growth, not a particular employer’s insurance premium renewal increase. Delayed or unavailable data will be handled under the governing contract.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 4.5%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.0%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.5%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 5.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6.0%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6.5%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 6.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.5%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.0%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 7.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.