US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
2.5% (24h)3mo
KalshiRésidents américains uniquementKYC requis2% de fraisQualite du marche 55 • Qualite moyenneMarché peu profond196 pt de divergence
Alertes
Suivez ce marche pour creer des alertes.
Aide à la décision
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Above 1.0% 89%
Qualite du marche
55 / 100
Qualite moyenneAchat / Vente
89.0% / 90.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 34 minutes
Dernière mise à jour: 5 avr., 23:45
Se resout
30 juil. 2026, 14:00
Volume 24h
143,2 €
Liquidité
2,3 k €
Spread
1.1%
Spread serreVariation 7j
-
Faible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Début 24 janv. 2026, 15:00Fin 30 juil. 2026, 14:00
Tendances
Aucune donnée de graphique disponible.
Résultat24hProbabilité
Également disponible sur Polymarket
KalshiDernière mise à jour: il y a 34 minutes
Above 1.0%
0pt89%
Above 1.5%
0pt70%
Above 2.0%
0pt57%
Above 2.5%
0pt41%
Vol
4,3 k €
Vol 24h
143,2 €
Liq
2,3 k €
Spread: Spread serreLiquidité: Faible liquidité
Résidents américains uniquementKYC requis2% de fraisRèglement en USD
PolymarketDernière mise à jour: il y a 13 minutes
Above 1.0%
▼ 89pt-
Above 1.5%
▼ 70pt-
Above 2.0%
▼ 57pt-
Above 2.5%
▼ 41pt-
Vol
204,8 k €
Vol 24h
841,8 €
Liq
18,8 k €
Spread: Spread largeLiquidité: Faible liquidité
Non disponible aux États-UnisSans KYC2% de fraisRèglement en USDC
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Règles
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
