KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 89%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
6.0% / 8.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
22 juil. 26, 02:30 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?
Manifold MarketsMunicipal bond interest tax break limited by EOY?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRègles
If the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) announces a decision to pursue the division of PJM Interconnection into two or more independently governed regional grid operators before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:FERC
- The decision must be adopted by the Commission, identify division as FERC’s proposed course of action, and direct PJM, Commission staff, or stakeholders to develop or submit a breakup plan.
- Final approval and implementation are not required.
- Requests for comment, proceedings that merely consider division, and statements by individual commissioners do not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 180,5 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 105,1 k €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 89% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) announces a decision to pursue the division of PJM Interconnection into two or more independently governed regional grid operators before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.