KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleCount Binface Party 66.1%En tête parmi 15 options
Qualite du marche
54 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
175,8 €
Liquidité
20,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.0% / 5.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
9 juil. 26, 15:3013 août 27, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Reform UK5%
Comparer les plateformes· Tony Mack
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global80% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 1% | 0pt | 11,3 k € | 183,2 k € | il y a 12 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | Moyenne | 1% | 0pt | 175,8 € | 20,2 k € | il y a 12 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
1.0 pts16j
+1.0pt79%
50%
50%
+50 résultats de plus
74 • Qualité moyenneSpread serréLiquidité élevée
Volume total264,8 k €
Volume 24h11,3 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.6k78.0%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesStraddleSellerhier
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesStraddleSellerhier$3.2k75.2%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Yesharrisonhohman8-4 j
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Yesharrisonhohman8-4 j$2.8k94.4%POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — NoTest669-13 j
POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — NoTest669-13 j$1.1k90.5%POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Nogroth-18 j
POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Nogroth-18 j$1.2k80.6%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesProfessionalPunter-19 j
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesProfessionalPunter-19 jTendance du volume
$2009 juil.20j de données28 juil.
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If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.