A Chinese bank means an institution holding a banking licence from China's National Financial Regulatory Administration or from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
A designation naming only a subsidiary, branch, affiliate or parent counts only if the licensed bank itself is named, and one qualifying bank is sufficient.
Adding a qualifying bank to the SDN List or the CAPTA List, or a FinCEN final rule imposing a Section 311 special measure on one, resolves the market to YES.
The stated reason for the designation is irrelevant, and a later delisting does not reverse a resolution already made.
A threat or reported plan, a civil penalty over past conduct, addition to the Commerce Entity List, sanctions by another government, or designation of a Chinese entity that is not a licensed bank, such as a payment processor, exchange house, refinery or trading firm, do NOT resolve the market to Yes.
Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank? ?
Kalshi cote Before Oct 1, 2026 à 30% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank? sera-t-il résolu ?
Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
Comment Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank? est-il réglé ?
Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces sanctions on a Chinese bank the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.