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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Régulation
  3. Will the carried interest loophole be closed?
Will the carried interest loophole be closed?

Will the carried interest loophole be closed?

RégulationOne-OffPolitiqueUS Politics6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 8%
En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche

24 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

0 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

2.0% / 24.0%

Spread

1100.0%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

14 mai 26, 20:001 janv. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2028
0%
Before Jan 1, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2029
0%
Before Jan 1, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2030
0%

Résultat choisi

Before Jan 1, 20278%

Règles

If legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To qualify, the legislation must mandate that carried interest be taxed at a rate equal to or greater than ordinary income rates.
  • The legislation will trigger a Yes resolution even if this change only applies to taxpayers above a certain income threshold (e.g., individuals earning over $400,000).
  • Minor adjustments to the required holding period (e.g., extending the current 3-year rule under Section 1061) will not suffice for a Yes resolution.
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,812.72+2.63%EthereumETH$1,656.80+2.36%SolanaSOL$65.17+2.67%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.86%XRPXRP$1.12+0.93%BNBBNB$599.08+2.48%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

If legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To qualify, the legislation must mandate that carried interest be taxed at a rate equal to or greater than ordinary income rates.
  • The legislation will trigger a Yes resolution even if this change only applies to taxpayers above a certain income threshold (e.g., individuals earning over $400,000).
  • Minor adjustments to the required holding period (e.g., extending the current 3-year rule under Section 1061) will not suffice for a Yes resolution.
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.