KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2030 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2030 50.5%En tête parmi 4 options
Before Jan 1, 2030 50.5%Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
42 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2030Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
14 mai 26, 20:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2030
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026
Manifold MarketsTrump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
PolymarketMunicipal bond interest tax break limited by EOY?
Manifold MarketsWill the "Mega Backdoor" Roth 401k tax loophole be removed by end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the "Backdoor" Roth IRA loophole be removed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To qualify, the legislation must mandate that carried interest be taxed at a rate equal to or greater than ordinary income rates. The legislation will trigger a Yes resolution even if this change only applies to taxpayers above a certain income threshold (e.g., individuals earning over $400,000). Minor adjustments to the required holding period (e.g., extending the current 3-year rule under Section 1061) will not suffice for a Yes resolution.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests) has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.