KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 10 oct. 2026, 08:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
At least 1,900,000 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
Carnet reçu (pas l’heure de cotation de la plateforme): —
Prix enregistré
At least 1,900,000 Achat–vente enregistré97%–98%Collecté: Prix en pourcentage du versement, avant frais ; ces observations enregistrées ne sont pas des cotations exécutables.En tête parmi 12 options
At least 1,900,000 Achat–vente enregistré97%–98%Collecté: Prix en pourcentage du versement, avant frais ; ces observations enregistrées ne sont pas des cotations exécutables.Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Intérêt ouvert
—
Intérêt ouvert inconnuAchat / Vente
— / —
At least 1,900,000Écart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
9 oct. 26, 21:00 UTC25 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · At least 1,900,000
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
Carnet reçu (pas l’heure de cotation de la plateforme): —
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Bulgarian presidential election winner?
KalshiBulgarian presidential first round: Yotova margin of victory
KalshiBulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketBulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner
PolymarketArgentina presidential election: first round winner?
KalshiArgentina Presidential Election First Round Winner
PolymarketRègles
If at least 2,400,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Central Election Commission of Bulgaria
- The count is the total of valid votes (including “I do not support anyone” votes) and invalid ballots in the first round of Bulgaria’s 2026 presidential election, as published by the Central Election Commission (CIK), including sections abroad. Registered voters, voter-list signatures and the second round do not count. Subject to the contract’s Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution Upon Designated Media Source Declarations provisions, the vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Outside those two contract provisions, preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 1,900,000
- If at least 1,900,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,000,000
- If at least 2,000,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,100,000
- If at least 2,100,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,200,000
- If at least 2,200,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,300,000
- If at least 2,300,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,400,000
- If at least 2,400,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,500,000
- If at least 2,500,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,600,000
- If at least 2,600,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,700,000
- If at least 2,700,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,800,000
- If at least 2,800,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2,900,000
- If at least 2,900,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3,000,000
- If at least 3,000,000 valid and invalid ballots, in combination are cast in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
