KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
By May 14, 2027 80%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
53 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,4 k €
Liquidité
7,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
24 août 26, 22:45 UTC3 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Aug 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
- The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
- If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
- If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Sep 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.