KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 87%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.0% / 4.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
2 mars 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel this year?
KalshiWill Rolex release a new reference in titanium this year?
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
KalshiRègles
If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Patek Philippe
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 351,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 k €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 résultats de plus
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 87% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.