Ce marché s'est résolu: Conservative (99%)
Résolu: 19 juin 2026, 03:30
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelleConservative 93.4%+81.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,7 k €
Liquidité
67,1 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 38 jours
Obsolète26 mai 26, 21:0018 juin 27, 14:00
Tendances
93.4%
0.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Conservative
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h
Également disponible sur Smarkets
Aberdeen South By-Election - Winner
Fermés
20.4%
0.2%
7 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETS
Également disponible sur Polymarket
2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner
85.5 ptsFermés
Résolu
Douglas Lumsden (100%)
+85.5pt100%
-0.3pt0%
-85.0pt0%
+19 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréFaible liquidité
Volume total27,6 k €
Volume 24h6,4 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Labour wins the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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If Labour wins the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.