KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Republican 89.7%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
898,9 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
87.0% / 90.9%
Écart
3.9 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
15 juil. 25, 14:00 UTC12 nov. 28, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Louisiana pursuant to the 2027 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Louisiana Secretary of State
- If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Louisiana pursuant to the 2027 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
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- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Louisiana governor winner? (2027) ?
- Kalshi cote Republican à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Louisiana governor winner? (2027) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Louisiana governor winner? (2027) doit être résolu le 12 novembre 2028.
- Comment Louisiana governor winner? (2027) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Louisiana pursuant to the 2027 election, then the market resolves to Yes.