Alerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 9 sept. 2026, 04:15 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Ami Bera 92.7%Ajusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
95.0% / 96.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
24 août 26, 12:48 UTC10 nov. 26, 01:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which California House Districts will Democrats win in the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia-06 House Winner
GeminiWho will win California House district 48? (CA-48)
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KalshiRègles
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in California-03?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in CA-03, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour California-03 House Winner ?
- Gemini cote Ami Bera à 93% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand California-03 House Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- California-03 House Winner doit être résolu le 10 novembre 2026.
- Comment California-03 House Winner est-il réglé ?
- Gemini règle ce marché comme suit : Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in California-03?