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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?
Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?

1.3% (24h)AITech
PolymarketPolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

This market resolved: Anthropic (100%)

Current implied probability
Anthropic
Anthropic 100%+1.3%
Leader of 27 outcomes
Market quality

72 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$25.1K

Liquidity

$0

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.9% / 100.0%

Spread

0.1%

Tight spread
7d Change

+14.4%

Market data

Updated 39 days ago

Stale
Apr 2, 26, 9:47 PMApr 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

DeepSeek0%
OpenAI1%
Anthropic100%
Moonshot0%
0%25%50%75%100%Apr 29Apr 29Apr 30
Outcome24hChance
Anthropic
Anthropic
+1.3%
100%
xAI
xAI
0%
ByteDance
ByteDance
0%
Baidu
Baidu
0%
Other
Other
0%
Company A
Company A
0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
  • If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
  • If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
  • This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
  • If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
  • If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
  • This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.