Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
0.4 Pkt. (24h)
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: 20+
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
20+ 100%+23.1ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
127.023,3 €
Liquidität
569.531,1 €
Hohe Liquidität7d-Änderung
-84.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 112 Tagen
Veraltet24. März 26, 17:0830. Apr. 26, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
20+82%
80+1%
60+1%
40+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.