PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDecember 31 76%-0.5%
Marktqualitat
91 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
2893,5 €
Liquidität
48.036,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
47.0% / 48.0%
Spread
2.1%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+19.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
8. Juli 26, 1:2031. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December 3176%
Volumentrend
$3.3k8. Juli19T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
220.990,5 €June 30, 2027: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
121.965 €United Russia (ER): 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
51.113,5 €December 31: 30%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
2329,2 €Before Jan 20, 2029: 37%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
1989 €Ja: 9.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?
439,5 €Ja: 10.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Sberbank to Launch Off-Chain Crypto Trading System in December Under Russia’s New Digital Asset LawBlockchain Reporter
Sberbank Plans Crypto Trading by December as Russia Tightens Market RulesBlockchain Reporter
Sberbank sets Dec. 1 deadline for Russia crypto trading launchCrypto News
EU adds HTX to Russia sanctions list, barring transactions starting Aug. 23The Block
Russia’s largest bank Sberbank plans crypto trading infrastructure by DecemberCoindesk
EU authorities include HTX exchange in Russian sanctionsCointelegraphRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.578748° N, 37.616899° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.