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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?

7.5% (24h)One-OffRussia / UkraineTechnik18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
July 31
July 31 27%+5.0%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

3645 €

Liquidität

9264 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

16.0% / 18.0%

Spread

12.5%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-9.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

5. Mai 26, 23:4830. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
May 31
May 31
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

July 3127%

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Rodynske, Donetsk Oblast, (48.351463° N, 37.207979° E) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Rodynske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

Verwandte Märkte

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by...?

7135,8 €
July 31: 16%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?

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Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

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Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

446,9 €
Ja: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,864.49+2.26%EthereumETH$1,657.62+1.62%SolanaSOL$65.26+1.54%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.35%BNBBNB$596.58+1.81%XRPXRP$1.12+0.47%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Rodynske, Donetsk Oblast, (48.351463° N, 37.207979° E) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Rodynske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.