Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 87%
Marktqualitat
79 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
3360 €
Liquidität
19.721,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
86.0% / 88.0%
Spread
2.3%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
8. Juli 26, 1:5230. Juni 27, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes87%
Volumentrend
$3.8k8. Juli2T Daten9. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Clacton by-election Winner
658.874,3 €Nigel Farage: 91%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
175.024,1 €United Russia (ER): 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
17.955,5 €AfD: 80%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will win the Clacton by-election?
2756,3 €Labour: 0.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Clacton By-Election - Winner
2004,4 €Conservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETSWhich party will win the Clacton by-election?
1194,1 €Reform UK: 85.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.