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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. US bank failure by June 30?
US bank failure by June 30?

US bank failure by June 30?

0.5% (24h)One-OffBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 19%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

36 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

293,5 €

Liquidität

2154,2 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

17.0% / 20.0%

Spread

17.6%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+8.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

26. Mai 26, 23:0530. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes19%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
  • If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
  • If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.