Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
0.1 Pkt. (24h)
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (100%)
Entschieden: 02.06.2026, 18:21
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
No
7 Tage vorher
98%
24 Stunden vorher
—
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 100%
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
135.704 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 0.1%
7d-Änderung
-2.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 54 Tagen
Veraltet31. März 26, 21:4531. Mai 26, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes0%
No100%
0%
100%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 100% | — | 135.704 € | 0 € | vor 54 Tagen | |
 Manifold Markets77% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 100% | — | — | — | vor 57 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? [Polymarket]
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Nein (99.7%)
99.7%
0.3%
Community-Prognose318 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.