PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
70-120mm 21%Führend unter 7 Optionen
70-120mm 21%Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
248,5 €
Liquidität
1681,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
14.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 13:39 UTC8. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketWill the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceed 2.1% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExHong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
- If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in October 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
- If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
- The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
- Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
