Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
15%+ 85.4%+5.0ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
50 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
137,1 €
Liquidität
43.629,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
83.0% / 92.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+24.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
4. Juli 26, 0:5730. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
15%+88%
Volumentrend
$1564. Juli25T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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554,8 €Ja: 7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?
465,3 €Richmond and Northallerton [Rishi Sunak]: 30.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Clacton By-Election - Winner
458,2 €Conservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the final round of the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election.
- The final round will be the first round if a candidate wins outright, or the runoff if no candidate wins outright.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.