PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
25 bps increase 100%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
87 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
40.425 €
Liquidität
164.068,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
17. Juni 26, 22:53 UTC10. Sept. 26, 11:59 UTC
Trends
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
Polymarket🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?
KalshiWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExRegeln
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für 25 bps increase liegt bei 100%. Die Kurse liegen rund 1 Prozentpunkt auseinander. Die Handelsplätze sind sich nicht einig, welches Ergebnis vorn liegt.
CoinRithm-Referenz 25 bps increase 100% · 2 Plattformen · 1 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — European Central Bank rate decision in September · Hike 1-25bps 95%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 · 25 bps increase 98%
Offene Märkte
Central BanksKALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 78.080 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 20.988,6 €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change-1.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-1.0pt88.1%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt11.9%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate94%
- Hike 25bps+28.0pt33%
- Cut 50bps2%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 41.179,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6091,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für ECB Interest Rates: September 2026?
- Polymarket bewertet 25 bps increase mit 100% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 entschieden?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 soll am 10. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Wo wird ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi, Limitless gelistet.