Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th?
One-OffManifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (90.2%)
Entschieden: 17.08.2026, 08:54
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Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 90.2%
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Tagen
Veraltet7. Aug. 26, 20:4415. Aug. 26, 23:59
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Target Date: August 15, 2026 (local time in Melilla, CET).
- Resolution Sources: Official statements from the Spanish Government Delegation in Melilla (Delegación del Gobierno en Melilla) or reports by reputable Spanish and international news outlets (e.g., RTVE, El País)
- This market will resolve to YES if on August 15, 2026 (including the overnight periods beginning August 14 or ending August 16), there is a coordinated border crossing attempt at the Melilla-Morocco border where:
- At least 1,000 people are reported to have attempted to cross the Melilla border fence or checkpoints, OR
- At least 200 people are reported to have successfully entered Melilla irregularly on that day.
- NO Resolution: If no such coordinated mass entry or attempt occurs on this date, or if the reported numbers fall below both thresholds, the market will resolve to NO.