Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (99%)
Entschieden: 03.08.2026, 09:11
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Tagen
Veraltet5. Dez. 25, 0:5431. Juli 26, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Regeln
Resolves YES if Sally Rooney, the author of books such as Normal People and Intermezzo, releases a new book, available for sale somewhere, before August 1st 2026.
- Resolves NO if Rooney does not release a new book before August 1st 2026, or the book is not available for sale anywhere before after August 1st.
- Any type of book may count, be it fiction, non-fiction, poetry, etc. Releasing works of writing for free, or for sale but not as physical books does not count.
Offene Märkte
Entertainment
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Dee Valladares+3.0pt17.8%
- Rick Devens-1.0pt15.8%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt9.9%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 112.154 €
KALSHIInsidious: Out of the Further · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4099%
- Above 50+9.0pt99%
- Above 45+1.0pt99%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 340.766,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIMutiny · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+16.0pt99%
- Above 50+35.0pt78%
- Above 55-1.0pt8%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 250.410,1 €
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey+1.0pt60%
- Dune: Part Three11%
- The Black Ball8%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 40.554,9 €
KALSHIGrand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Before July 202797%
- Before January 2028-2.0pt97%
- Before 202787%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 26.949,9 €
POLYMARKET"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
- 550 - 570m+1.5pt84.5%
- 570m+-6.3pt13.4%
- 530 - 550m-0.3pt2.1%
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (August 17, 2026 - August 23, 2026)
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?
- Lost Weekend: First Week Album Equivalent Units
- Emmy winner: Outstanding Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
- #2 US Netflix Show this week?
- Top US Netflix Show this week?
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- #2 US Netflix Movie this week?
- Emmy winner: Outstanding Structured Reality Program
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Sally Rooney release a new book by August 1st 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 7. August 2026).
- Wann wird Will Sally Rooney release a new book by August 1st 2026? entschieden?
- Will Sally Rooney release a new book by August 1st 2026? soll am 31. Juli 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Sally Rooney release a new book by August 1st 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if Sally Rooney, the author of books such as Normal People and Intermezzo, releases a new book, available for sale somewhere, before August 1st 2026.