CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 53.6%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Tagen
Veraltet
20. Dez. 25, 18:5216. Aug. 26, 4:13
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes46.4%
No53.6%
Nein
53.6%
Ja
46.4%
Regeln
Market resolves if/when I:
Make a bet with someone on social media whom I do not know as someone I can trust.
We do not use escrow.
They use their real identity, and live in a country that works with the US or Canadian legal system to a level that makes it possible in theory for me to sue them for my winnings.
They lose the bet.
If they pay up without legal action, resolves YES.
Häufige Fragen
Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will I get paid willingly from the next legally-enforced bet I make with a person I don't know??
Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 54% (Stand: 17. August 2026).
Wann wird Will I get paid willingly from the next legally-enforced bet I make with a person I don't know? entschieden?
Will I get paid willingly from the next legally-enforced bet I make with a person I don't know? soll am 16. August 2026 entschieden werden.
Wie wird Will I get paid willingly from the next legally-enforced bet I make with a person I don't know? abgerechnet?
Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Market resolves if/when I: