Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 61.2%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
15. Sept. 26, 20:44 UTC30. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Austin LessWrong's 2026 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPro Baseball Champion
KalshiMLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)MLB: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)MLB: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Regeln
As determined by post-event survey and group consensus.
- Austin LW has done a Petrov Day since 2015.
- Note: the group's leader will not be present at this one.
- Update accordingly.
Offene Märkte
Baseball
POLYMARKETWashington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals+54.5pt100%
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals — Yes+49.5pt100%
- Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+48.0pt100%
+32 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1 Mio. €
KALSHIPro Baseball Champion
- Los Angeles D-0.8pt27.4%
- Milwaukee-0.7pt16%
- New York Y-0.4pt9.4%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 66,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers — Yes+56.5pt100%
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)100%
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: Full game — Over 7.5 total runs100%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 19, 2026)
- MIL-1.0pt58.8%
- BAL41.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 348.535,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 348.535,4 €
POLYMARKETPhiladelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)+64.5pt100%
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+52.5pt100%
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings — Over 2.5 total runs+36.0pt100%
POLYMARKETKansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+52.5pt100%
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings — Over 2.5 total runs+24.4pt100%
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings — Over 3.5 total runs+40.0pt100%
- MLB: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (Sep 19, 2026)
- Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers
- MLB: New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks (Sep 19, 2026)
- Minnesota vs Los Angeles A: Total Runs
- Detroit vs Chicago WS: Total Runs
- A's vs Cleveland: Total Runs
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Kansas City Royals vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Sep 19, 2026)
- Seattle vs Colorado
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 61% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever? entschieden?
- Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever? soll am 30. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: As determined by post-event survey and group consensus.