will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026}
One-OffKinokasse / StreamingUnterhaltung2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.4%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
3. Feb. 26, 07:39 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the next Star Trek movie be released?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the live-action Legend of Zelda movie be released?
Manifold MarketsWill a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2028?
Manifold MarketsGodzilla Minus Zero · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi#2 US Netflix Show this week?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if any movie with a worldwide theatrical release date in 2026 earns more than $2,923,710,708 in total worldwide box office gross.
- Resolution will be determined using data from Box Office Mojo, which tracks cumulative worldwide box office totals including all theatrical releases and re-releases.
- The threshold is based on Avatar's estimated $2.92 billion worldwide gross, which remains the highest-grossing movie of all time.
- Avatar (2009) earned an estimated $2.92 billion at the box office worldwide, putting it ahead of "Avengers: Endgame" at $2.8 billion.
- Avatar's 2022 sequel "Avatar: The Way of Water" brought audiences back to Pandora for a global box office gross of $2.32 billion, demonstrating that even the most successful sequels have struggled to approach the original's record.
