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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit? (Quarters)
Manifold Markets

When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit? (Quarters)

ChinaCustom3J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
2026 Q1 1.1%
Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker

5

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vorgestern

Veraltet
19. Aug. 25, 11:5731. Dez. 29, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

2026 Q11%

Regeln

The Long March 10 is an evolution of the Long March 5 and is primarily intended to enable China's crewed lunar landings.

Manifold Markets
  • This question includes the Long March 10A.
  • Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Whether Long March 10B will be included in this market depends on whether it is genuinely the same rocket with a different engine and fuel package, or a new rocket with the same name.
  • The creator will make this determination when more information becomes available.
  • Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market now includes the Long March 10B variant.

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Regeln

The Long March 10 is an evolution of the Long March 5 and is primarily intended to enable China's crewed lunar landings.

Manifold Markets
  • This question includes the Long March 10A.
  • Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Whether Long March 10B will be included in this market depends on whether it is genuinely the same rocket with a different engine and fuel package, or a new rocket with the same name.
  • The creator will make this determination when more information becomes available.
  • Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market now includes the Long March 10B variant.