Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 11.07.2026, 11:19 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle Community-Prognose2026 Q3 99%+95.2ptFührend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Tagen
Veraltet19. Aug. 25, 11:5731. Dez. 29, 23:59
Trends
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
2026 Q399%
Volumentrend
$1.4k10. Juli2T Daten11. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit?
549,4 €-2025: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US or China impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold before 2030
87,9 €Ja: 61.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSChina vs US: who will be first to impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold?
0 €China: 63.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
TownSquare FDV above ___ one day after launch?
186,3 €$100M: 84%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Discord’s IPO Closing Market Cap be above $20 Billion?
140,7 €Ja: 24.7%
MYRIAD
MYRIAD
GOLD Price: Pump to $4.900 or Dump to $3.700?
94,4 €$4900: 34.6%MYRIAD
MYRIADIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
China completes first digital yuan payment to SingaporeCrypto News
Trump’s CLARITY push is now about beating ChinaCrypto News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
Chinese Prosecutors Float Treating Crypto Mixer, Privacy Coin Use as Sign of Money LaunderingDecrypt
Hong Kong Clearing exposes fake crypto wallet scam using cash rewardsCrypto NewsRegeln
The Long March 10 is an evolution of the Long March 5 and is primarily intended to enable China's crewed lunar landings.
- This question includes the Long March 10A.
- Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Whether Long March 10B will be included in this market depends on whether it is genuinely the same rocket with a different engine and fuel package, or a new rocket with the same name.
- The creator will make this determination when more information becomes available.
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market now includes the Long March 10B variant.