This is my 47th day. I have 16 referrals to Manifold Markets. Will I have 20 by August 4, 2026 (8/4/26)?
One-OffManifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (58.7%)
Entschieden: 31.07.2026, 13:15
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 58.7%
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Tagen
Veraltet9. Juli 26, 19:5831. Juli 26, 13:15
Trends
58.7%
41.3%
Regeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the creator's Manifold Markets account has accumulated 20 or more total referrals by August 4, 2026, at 11:59 PM PDT.
- It resolves to NO if the total referral count is 19 or fewer at that deadline.
- The creator will resolve this market using the referral stats page on their Manifold account.
- The creator has been a Manifold user for 47 days and has successfully referred 16 users to the platform.
- They need 4 more referrals to reach their target of 20 by the deadline of August 4, 2026.