Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 89.1%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet4. Sept. 23, 21:02 UTC2. Jan. 31, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Waymo cross any Bay bridge?
Manifold MarketsWill an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2030
Manifold MarketsNew US $20 bills don't have Andrew Jackson on them any time through 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track
- Currently the bridges we have are
- San Mateo - Hayward bridge, route 92, connecting Foster City/San Mateo to Hayward in the central bay
- Dumbarton Bridge - Connecting East Palo Alto to the south east bay
- San Francisco - Oakland Bay Bridge
- Golden Gate bridge - Connecting SF to Marin County in the north
Offene Märkte
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+1.0pt94%
- $50M+3.0pt89%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 482.494,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 422.439,4 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+18.0pt76.8%
- 65-89-3.5pt22.2%
- 90-114-3.3pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 113.699,6 €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 189.615,2 €
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030 entschieden?
- New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030 soll am 2. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track