Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028
One-OffManifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (91.1%)
Entschieden: 05.08.2026, 19:48
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 91.1%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Tagen
Veraltet3. Aug. 26, 21:585. Aug. 26, 19:48
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes91.1%
No8.900000000000006%
91.1%
8.9%
Regeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Jason Arday is no longer employed by the University of Cambridge in any academic capacity (including as a professor, lecturer, or researcher) on or before December 31, 2027.
- The market resolves to NO if he remains employed by the University of Cambridge as of December 31, 2027.
- Source of Truth: Employment status will be verified using the official University of Cambridge Faculty of Education staff directory or via official statements from the University of Cambridge and major reputable news outlets (such as The Guardian, The Telegraph, or Times Higher Education).
- Leaves of Absence: If Professor Arday is on a temporary sabbatical, suspension, or medical leave of absence but remains officially on the university payroll, the market resolves to NO.
- Termination/Resignation: If he permanently leaves his role due to resignation, termination, retirement, or transfer to another institution, the market resolves to YES.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 91% (Stand: 6. August 2026).
- Wann wird Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028 entschieden?
- Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028 soll am 5. August 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria