Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Over 10 Launches 76.3%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
27
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-3.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet10. Juni 26, 17:51 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starship launches will occur in 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketHow many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad, even slightly, under the thrust of its own engines (the launch does not have to be successful nor does it need to be intended to be fully orbital)
- Must be a full stack launch, but any Starship variant counts
- Answers will resolve as they are fulfilled
- I may resolve answers NO slightly earlier than year end if I'm exceedingly certain they aren't attainable
- UTC is used for determining 2027 start/end