Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose10+ 50%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
12. Juli 26, 22:4119. Juli 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
10+50%
Volumentrend
$20012. Juli2T Daten13. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?
422.395,3 €200-219: 48%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of July?
171.412,1 €Anthropic: 95%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
41.575,9 €December 31: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?
27.017,5 €Above 2 inches: 9%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
16.327 €Before October: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
#1 searched person on Google in 2026
11.224,3 €Donald Trump: 16%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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How to sign up: go to the tournament page, hit Join, and enter your Manifold username — before July 18, 23:59 ET.
- Each "N+" answer resolves YES if the participant count on the tournament page is at least N when signups close July 18, and NO otherwise — each threshold resolves independently (e.g. 30 signups resolves 10+ and 25+ YES, 50+ and 100+ NO).
- Host reserves the right to exclude troll signups (spam accounts, obvious sockpuppets, signups made just to game this market) from the count.
- Note this market is self-referential: signing up moves its own answer.
- 🏆 This market is part of The Introductory Tournaments Tournament, the first-ever tournament on Manifold Tournaments — an unofficial site for running tournaments on top of Manifold markets.
- Rankings are by total profit across the tournament's markets, computed live on the tournament page.