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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. 2026 Democratic nominee for US Senate in Maine?
Manifold Markets

2026 Democratic nominee for US Senate in Maine?

One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahl4Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
Janet Mills 0.4%
Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker

129

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten

19. Aug. 25, 20:244. Nov. 26, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Manifold Markets
Janet Mills
0.4%
Manifold Markets
Ryan Fecteau
0.1%
Manifold Markets
Cathy Breen
0.1%
Manifold Markets
Aaron Frey
0.1%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Graham Platner94%

KalshiAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi

Maine Democratic Senate nominee?

Maine Democratic Senate nominee?

0.6%Geschlossen

Aufgelöst

Graham Platner (100%)

Graham Platner
Graham Platner
+0.6%100%
Janet Mills
Janet Mills
-0.9%0%
David Costello
David Costello
1%

+6 weitere Ergebnisse

91 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen53.879,7 €
24h-Volumen2682,7 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regeln

Susan Collins (R-ME) is up for reelection in 2026.

Manifold Markets
  • Which Democrat will face her?
  • (Feel free to suggest additions, though I'll only add people who I subjectively think have a >2% chance of winning.)
  • Update 2026-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on whoever appears on the November ballot, not the primary election result.
  • This accounts for potential candidate replacements after the July deadline.
  • Update 2026-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on whoever appears on the November ballot as the Democratic nominee, not necessarily the primary election winner.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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Los Angeles mayoral election: Spencer Pratt vote percent (1st round)

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Los Angeles Mayor winner?

2421,6 €
Nithya Raman: 34%KalshiKALSHI
When will FISA be reauthorized again?

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

1414,3 €
Before Jun 13, 2026: 17%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,710.65+1.66%EthereumETH$1,653.76+0.84%SolanaSOL$64.97+0.68%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.74%XRPXRP$1.11-0.27%BNBBNB$597.26+1.49%

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Regeln

Susan Collins (R-ME) is up for reelection in 2026.

Manifold Markets
  • Which Democrat will face her?
  • (Feel free to suggest additions, though I'll only add people who I subjectively think have a >2% chance of winning.)
  • Update 2026-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on whoever appears on the November ballot, not the primary election result.
  • This accounts for potential candidate replacements after the July deadline.
  • Update 2026-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on whoever appears on the November ballot as the Democratic nominee, not necessarily the primary election winner.