Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 53.4%
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
-
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
2. Juli 26, 20:006. Juli 26, 20:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes53%
Verwandte Märkte
QQQ passes SPY by EOY 2026?
68,3 €Ja: 66%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?
2381,7 €Up: 65%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?
365,9 €Up: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
0 €Ja: 50%
LIMITLESS
LIMITLESS
Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
5827,5 €↑$41B: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETSpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
0 €Below 0.5T: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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ETF outflows weigh on Bitcoin near $58K as Polymarket sees 99.95% above $50KBlockchain.News
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Bitcoin ETFs lose record $4.5B in June, eclipsing Strategy's $1.25B raiseCointelegraph
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Spot bitcoin ETFs record worst month since debut, shedding $4.5 billion in JuneThe BlockRegeln
This market will resolve to "Up" if the price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on July 6, 2026 is strictly higher than the price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on the most recent prior trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) captured on July 2, 2026 was $744.92649.
Resolution source: Pyth SPY/USD price feed.
- Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's price with the previous Friday's price, unless that Friday was a market holiday.
- In that case, it would compare against Thursday's price, or the next most recent trading day.
If S&P 500 ETF (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session on July 6, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".
For a standard full trading session, the price for that trading day refers to the Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth price at the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price published during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective price for that day.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which SPY is listed will be used to determine the price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.