KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Outright Winner (98%)
Entschieden: 19.07.2026, 22:15
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Outright Winner
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
59%
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 19.07.2026, 22:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Abwicklungsnachweis
- Aktuelles Ergebnis
- Outright Winner
- Erfasst
- 19.07.2026, 22:32
- Beobachtungen
- 1
- Revisionen
- 0
- Methode
- resolution_watch
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitOutright Winner 93.3%+40.0ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
254.283,9 €
Liquidität
520.398,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
97.0% / 99.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Tagen
Veraltet8. Mai 26, 2:0027. Juli 26, 2:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Runner-Up2%
Outright Winner98%
Round of 321%
93.3%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Outright Winner
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 98% | — | 254.283,9 € | 520.398,1 € | vor 7 Tagen | |
 Polymarket88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 49.058,6 € | 0 € | vor 6 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
World Cup: Spain Stage of Elimination
40.5 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Champion (100%)
+40.5pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen1,8 Mio. €
24h-Volumen49.058,6 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Spain is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification.
- For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing.
- Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
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If Spain is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification.
- For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing.
- Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.