KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Runner-Up (98%)
Entschieden: 19.07.2026, 22:15
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Runner-Up
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
58%
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 19.07.2026, 22:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Abwicklungsnachweis
- Aktuelles Ergebnis
- Runner-Up
- Erfasst
- 19.07.2026, 22:32
- Beobachtungen
- 1
- Revisionen
- 0
- Methode
- resolution_watch
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRunner-Up 94.2%+40.0ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
491.752,3 €
Liquidität
814.787,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.0% / 4.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Tagen
Veraltet8. Mai 26, 0:0027. Juli 26, 2:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Runner-Up98%
Outright Winner1%
1%
1%
94.2%
1%
1%
1%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Runner-Up
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 98% | — | 491.752,3 € | 814.787,8 € | vor 7 Tagen | |
 Polymarket88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 45.371,8 € | 0 € | vor 6 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
World Cup: Argentina Stage of Elimination
40.8 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Final (100%)
+40.5pt100%
0%
-0.3pt0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
30 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen523.113,9 €
24h-Volumen45.371,8 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Argentina is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification.
- For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing.
- Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$4.2k44.0%KALSHIOutright Winner — Yesvor 8 Tagen
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KALSHIOutright Winner — Yesvor 10 Tagen$1.2k41.1%POLYMARKETWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? — Nogeorgecalinescu8635vor 10 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? — Nogeorgecalinescu8635vor 10 Tagen$2.6k75.0%KALSHIQuarterfinals — Novor 19 Tagen
KALSHIQuarterfinals — Novor 19 TagenVolumentrend
$559.6k2. Juli18T Daten19. Juli
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2027 FIFA Women's World Cup Champion
617,2 €Brazil: 15%KALSHI
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Which country will be next to win their first FIFA World Cup?
109,8 €Portugal: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhere will the 2038 FIFA World Cup be hosted (any option that hosts at least one match will resolve YES)?
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47,3 €CONCACAF / North America: 35.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will host the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup?
41,4 €Mexico: 11%KALSHI
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Messi to play for Argentina again after the 2026 WC by Dec 31, 2026
0 €Ja: 50%
LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Argentina is eliminated in the Group Stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification.
- For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing.
- Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.