KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Argentina (99%)
Entschieden: 15.07.2026, 21:20
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Argentina
7 Tage vorher
44%
24 Stunden vorher
47%
ÜberraschungWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 15.07.2026, 21:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Abwicklungsnachweis
- Aktuelles Ergebnis
- Argentina
- Erfasst
- 15.07.2026, 21:46
- Beobachtungen
- 1
- Revisionen
- 0
- Methode
- resolution_watch
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitArgentina 99%+52.0ptFührend unter 48 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
495.247,5 €
Liquidität
6,5 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Tagen
Veraltet30. Jan. 26, 15:003. Aug. 26, 14:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Argentina99%
England1%
Norway16%
USA8%
Algeria3%
France59%
Morocco9%
Spain39%
Mexico12%
99%
1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Argentina
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 99% | — | 495.247,5 € | 6,5 Mio. € | vor 11 Tagen | |
 Polymarket95% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 169.585,1 € | 0 € | vor 10 Tagen | Öffnen → |
 Limitless75% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 50% | — | 17,6 € | 0 € | vor 11 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
54.5 ptsGeschlossen
+59.5pt100%
+53.6pt100%
-9.3pt0%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
24 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen12,2 Mio. €
24h-Volumen169.585,1 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Limitless
2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Geschlossen
50.1%
50.1%
50%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
7 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen346,7 €
24h-Volumen17,6 €
LIMITLESSRegeln
If Mexico is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Korea Republic is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If South Africa is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.8k47.0%KALSHIArgentina — Yesvor 12 Tagen
KALSHIArgentina — Yesvor 12 Tagen$7.8k47.0%KALSHIArgentina — Yesvor 12 Tagen
KALSHIArgentina — Yesvor 12 Tagen$5.4k55.0%POLYMARKETWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? — Yes0x000c…bcf3vor 12 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? — Yes0x000c…bcf3vor 12 Tagen$1.4k47.0%KALSHIEngland — Novor 13 Tagen
KALSHIEngland — Novor 13 Tagen$4.9k46.0%POLYMARKETWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? — Nopurplegattovor 13 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? — Nopurplegattovor 13 Tagen$3.7k93.0%KALSHIFrance — Novor 13 Tagen
KALSHIFrance — Novor 13 Tagen$1.3k93.0%KALSHIFrance — Novor 13 Tagen
KALSHIFrance — Novor 13 Tagen$1.8k90.0%KALSHISpain — Yesvor 13 Tagen
KALSHISpain — Yesvor 13 TagenVolumentrend
$564.5k2. Juli14T Daten15. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
2027 FIFA Women's World Cup Champion
609,1 €Brazil: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which country will be next to win their first FIFA World Cup?
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MANIFOLD MARKETSWhere will the 2038 FIFA World Cup be hosted (any option that hosts at least one match will resolve YES)?
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will host the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup?
41,4 €Mexico: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Messi to play for Argentina again after the 2026 WC by Dec 31, 2026
0 €Ja: 50%LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Mexico is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Korea Republic is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If South Africa is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.