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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots received after Election Day?
Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots received after Election Day?

Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots received after Election Day?

7.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlUS Politics1Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 80%+7.0%
Marktqualitat

49 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

54,8 €

Liquidität

457,2 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

79.0% / 80.0%

Spread

1.3%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

26. Feb. 26, 15:001. Aug. 26, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes80%

PolymarketAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

3.5%1Mon
Ja
Ja
-0.0%74%
Nein
Nein
+0.0%27%
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen35.197,2 €
24h-Volumen16,7 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regeln

If the Supreme Court, in Watson v.

Kalshi
  • Republican National Committee, rules before Aug 1, 2026 that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received (and counted) after Election Day, then the market resolves to Yes.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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Regeln

If the Supreme Court, in Watson v.

Kalshi
  • Republican National Committee, rules before Aug 1, 2026 that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received (and counted) after Election Day, then the market resolves to Yes.