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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. CA-11 primary: Connie Chan vote percent
CA-11 primary: Connie Chan vote percent

CA-11 primary: Connie Chan vote percent

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahl11Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 45%
At least 45% 1%-2.0%
Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

7,5 €

Liquidität

161,7 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

1.0% / 2.0%

Spread

100.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

1. Juni 26, 15:302. Juni 27, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

At least 45%1%

Regeln

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Connie Chan in the 2026 CA-11 primary is 0% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
  • Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
  • Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
  • Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
  • If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.

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483 €
At least 50%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

125,1 €
At least 20%: 13%KalshiKALSHI
Los Angeles mayoral election: Nithya Raman vote percent (1st round)

Los Angeles mayoral election: Nithya Raman vote percent (1st round)

51,4 €
25% - 30%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
NY-12 Democratic primary: George Conway vote percent

NY-12 Democratic primary: George Conway vote percent

16,8 €
20% - 25%: 7%KalshiKALSHI
California Governor primary: Steve Hilton vote percent

California Governor primary: Steve Hilton vote percent

16,1 €
At least 22%: 88%KalshiKALSHI
Los Angeles mayoral election: Karen Bass vote percent (1st round)

Los Angeles mayoral election: Karen Bass vote percent (1st round)

5,7 €
30% - 35%: 98%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Connie Chan in the 2026 CA-11 primary is 0% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
  • Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
  • Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
  • Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
  • If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.