KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit4.8% or above 99%Führend unter 19 Optionen
Marktqualitat
55 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1301,3 €
Liquidität
12.351,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
18.0% / 23.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
7. Juli 26, 19:3031. Juli 26, 19:30
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
5.2% or above18%
Große Trades
$1.8k95.0%KALSHI5.2% or above — Novor 5 Tagen
KALSHI5.2% or above — Novor 5 TagenVolumentrend
$1.5k7. Juli21T Daten27. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 27, 2026?
4680,1 €4.68% or above: 20%KALSHI
KALSHI
7Y US Treasury yield on Jul 27, 2026?
3472 €4.58% or above: 25%KALSHI
KALSHI
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 27, 2026?
2786,1 €4.35% or above: 30%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
263,5 €2023: 1.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
90,6 €4.5%: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
43,9 €Ja: 50.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the par yield for the 30Y U.S.
- Treasury is above 4.79% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 31, 2026, or one week following Jul 31, 2026.
- Treasury is above 4.84% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Treasury is above 4.89% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Treasury is above 4.94% on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.