KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit75 or above 14%-1.0%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
8018,3 €
Liquidität
8727,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
40.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
2. Juli 26, 18:195. Juli 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
75 or above14%
Verwandte Märkte
What will Trump say during his remarks at Mount Rushmore?
2 Mio. €World Cup: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
555.762,4 €Gavin Newsom: 21%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
548.092,6 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?
467.867,7 €John Hickenlooper, ≥9%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
436.283,9 €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
370.302,7 €Hunter Biden: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Donald Trump speaks for 30 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Speaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump.
- Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points.
- Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.
- If Donald Trump speaks for 35 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald Trump speaks for 40 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.